The best time to do outdoor activities will be this morning as only isolated storms are on radar, but more widespread activity is forecast to roll in this afternoon. A wetter pattern will settle over SW FL and continue through the beginning of the weekend, so grab that umbrella and keep it on hand as both morning and evening storms will remain in the forecast!
Checking on the tropics: a wave 680 southwest of the Cape Verde Islands (coastal Africa) will likely form into a tropical depression later today or Wednesday. Also, a wave of energy in the southern Gulf west of the Yucatan warrants watching; this wave has a chance of developing into a depression in the next 48 hours. Meanwhile, Major Hurricane Katia has sustained winds of 125 mph but will not threaten land. The main effect from Katia will be rip currents and high surf along the eastern seaboard in the coming days.
-KW
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Friday, September 2, 2011
Tropical Storm Lee
Tropical Storm Lee will soak Louisiana but will not have any significant impact on SW Florida. If anything we will have a breeze by Monday. In the mean time, look for a fairly typical weekend! - Jim
Tropical Depression #13
Tropical Depression #13 remains nearly stationary just south of the Louisiana coastline this morning. As of 11am, sustained winds are at 35 mph, with a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb. Tropical Storm warnings are in effect for Pascagoula, MS west toward Sabine pass, TX, which includes the city of New Orleans. As TD 13 swirls over the warm waters of the Gulf, strengthening is possible into a Tropical Storm as we head into the weekend. This system is expected to produce between 10 and 15 inches of rainfall across southern Louisiana and south Alabama, with isolated amounts up to 20 inches of rainfall, which makes flooding a huge concern in this area.
Katia has now regained Hurricane status with winds sustained at 75 mph as it moves to the W/NW at 14 mph. It looks like Katia will continue to strengthen over the weekend reaching major hurricane status by early next week.
Katia has now regained Hurricane status with winds sustained at 75 mph as it moves to the W/NW at 14 mph. It looks like Katia will continue to strengthen over the weekend reaching major hurricane status by early next week.
Watching 3 Waves in the Tropics
Nearly stationary Tropical Depression 13 continues to spin in the Gulf. A better model consensus leads us to believe that this depression will likely strengthen to a tropical storm later today but not strengthen beyond that intensity. As of now, the storm is forecast to slowly move toward the northeast and make landfall along the Louisiana coastline early Monday morning. The storm will continue slowly northeast, producing 10-15" of rainfall in southern LA, MS, and AL. We in SW FL will not be directly impacted by this storm but can expect increased cloud cover and scattered storms through the beginning of next week.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Katia is moving toward the WNW at 15 mph in the Atlantic. The storm maintains winds of 70 mph, just 4 mph shy of Category 1 hurricane strength. The storm is not forecast to strengthen in the next 24-36 hours; beyond that the storm will likely re-strengthen into a hurricane and possibly even a major hurricane. Through the next 5 days, Katia will not be a threat to land.
A third tropical wave south of Nova Scotia, moving northeast in the North Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours but regardless of development, this wave of energy will not threaten land in its lifetime.
-KW
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Katia is moving toward the WNW at 15 mph in the Atlantic. The storm maintains winds of 70 mph, just 4 mph shy of Category 1 hurricane strength. The storm is not forecast to strengthen in the next 24-36 hours; beyond that the storm will likely re-strengthen into a hurricane and possibly even a major hurricane. Through the next 5 days, Katia will not be a threat to land.
A third tropical wave south of Nova Scotia, moving northeast in the North Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours but regardless of development, this wave of energy will not threaten land in its lifetime.
-KW
Thursday, September 1, 2011
Our next named storm is Lee.. And it looksl like it will be in the Gulf soon!
We are still watching the disturbance in the Gulf and slowly moving to the northwest. Hurricane hunters are flying in and around the system gathering data. It is looking good for developing in the next few hours. It could become a depression and or a storm, Lee would be the name. The upper air looks rough right now but in the next 6 to 12 hours the sheer weakens which allows this potential system to strengthen. Good new for us is that it is moving to the northwest. However, with the slow movement this system could become a hurricane if it stay over the Gulf for the next few days.
Katia is now a strong Tropical Storm with wind at 70mph. But this storm will stay out in the Atlantic.
--
Scott Zedeker
WINK TV Meteorologist
--
Scott Zedeker
WINK TV Meteorologist
Cloud Cover Keeping Temperatures a Bit Cooler
It's another cloudy day across SWFL, as we are seeing some tropical moisture move overhead in association with a tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico. This will keep our weather pattern unsettled for the next couple of days with more clouds than sun and scattered rain/storms. On the flip side, it will keep our daytime highs well below the norm as most of us won't even crack the 90° mark once again.
In the tropics, Katia is maintaining its category 1 strength with sustained winds at 75 mph, but over the next 48 hours intensification is likely, with Katia reaching category 3 status as early as the weekend. The area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico has the potential to evolve into our next Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm over the next day or two. Most models do have this system moving in a northwest direction and meandering across the Texas to Louisiana coast through the weekend.
In the tropics, Katia is maintaining its category 1 strength with sustained winds at 75 mph, but over the next 48 hours intensification is likely, with Katia reaching category 3 status as early as the weekend. The area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico has the potential to evolve into our next Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm over the next day or two. Most models do have this system moving in a northwest direction and meandering across the Texas to Louisiana coast through the weekend.
Sept. 1st Tropical Update
Hurricane Katia continues to churn in the Atlantic with sustained winds of 75 mph. The storm is expected to maintain hurricane strength and further strengthen in the coming days. Katia, however, will not be a threat to land in the next 5-7 days. Beyond that time, of course Katia bears watching.
Of other importance is an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf. An area of disorganized shower activity over the eastern Gulf is expected to get more organized in the next 48 hours and become a tropical depression or tropical storm. While a good consensus in the forecast models has yet to be reached, it appears this wave will bring much needed rainfall to the coastlines of the Deep South, including Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas, areas that are all suffering from moderate to exceptional drought. Based off even the most pessimistic intensity models, I believe this storm could strengthen into a tropical storm but not into a hurricane. Of course things can change and we will keep a close eye on this wave, as we in SW FL will see a bit of backwash from this storm with clouds and scattered showers over the weekend.
-KW
Of other importance is an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf. An area of disorganized shower activity over the eastern Gulf is expected to get more organized in the next 48 hours and become a tropical depression or tropical storm. While a good consensus in the forecast models has yet to be reached, it appears this wave will bring much needed rainfall to the coastlines of the Deep South, including Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas, areas that are all suffering from moderate to exceptional drought. Based off even the most pessimistic intensity models, I believe this storm could strengthen into a tropical storm but not into a hurricane. Of course things can change and we will keep a close eye on this wave, as we in SW FL will see a bit of backwash from this storm with clouds and scattered showers over the weekend.
-KW
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