SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DON REMAINS A SHEARED SYSTEM THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF
A DISORGANIZED MASS OF STRONG CONVECTION. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE MEASURED 56 KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AT 850 MB
AND ESTIMATED SURFACE WINDS OF 46 KT WITH THE SFMR...BOTH IN THE
NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. BASED ON THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY
REMAINS 45 KT. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT DOPPLER WIND DISPLAYS FROM
THE BROWNSVILLE WSR-88D HAVE RECENTLY SHOWN A WELL-DEFINED
MESOCYCLONE IN A STRONG CONVECTIVE CELL WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
THE CENTER AND THE PRIMARY CONVECTION.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/14. DEEP-LAYER RIDGING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD STEER DON GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR
THE SYSTEM TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN BROWNSVILLE AND CORPUS CHRISTI
IN THE NEXT 12 HR...FOLLOWED BY A MOTION ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS INTO
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK.
EVEN THOUGH THE 12 HR FORECAST POINT SHOWS WEAKENING...THERE IS
STILL AN OPPORTUNITY FOR DON TO STRENGTHEN A LITTLE IN THE FEW
HOURS REMAINING BEFORE LANDFALL. THEREAFTER...THE CYCLONE SHOULD
STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES SOUTHERN TEXAS...AND IT IS FORECAST
TO DISSIPATE OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO BY 48 HR.
--
Scott Zedeker
WINK TV Meteorologist
Blog Archive
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2011
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July
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- Increased Moisture Means the End of a "Dry" Spell
- Sultry and Mainly Dry This Weekend
- Dry for the weekend, and hot!! Don gets ready to m...
- A Hot Weekend
- Drier than Normal for the Next 48 Hours
- Tropical storm Don is staying on course with wind ...
- Drying Out!
- More Sunshine
- Tropical storm Don has formed in the Gulf.
- The Tropics are Brewing!
- A tropical wave is passing to the south of SW Flo...
- Heavy Downpours Moving Across Charlotte County...
- Feeling hot, hot, HOT!
- Strong Storms Bringing Heavy Rain Across Parts of ...
- Strong Storms Developing Across Lee County
- Strong Storms Moving Quickly Across Charlotte & De...
- Bring on the Heat!
- Tropical Storm Force Winds Blow Through SW Florida
- Hot & Humid, Scattered PM Storms
- Tropics and Radar
- Even More Heat and Humidity on the Way!
- 2 Tropical Storms, no worries
- Farewell Bret, Hello Hot Temps!
- Tropical Storm Bret not a Threat to SWFL!
- Tropical Storm Bret
- Tropical Storm Bret
- Tropical Storm Bret
- Tropical Depression #2
- Watching Development off Florida's Atlantic Coast
- Heavy Downpours Moving into DeSoto & Glades Counties
- Typical Mid-July
- A Hot and Humid TGIF
- Summer Heat and Humidity
- Afternoon Downpours
- Scattered storms across Lee County are weakening. ...
- Tropics Quiet
- Slow Movers
- Storms Interrupt Sleep
- Strong Storms Approaching I-75 in Collier County
- Strong Storms Over Charlotte County this Evening..
- Another Humid and Hazy Start to the Day!
- A Few Storms Continue this Evening...
- Still Cloudy
- Tropical Moisture to Move in...
- Firework Haze
- Storms come early, storms leave early. Great news ...
- A Sunny Start to the 4th!
- Storms Winding Down this Evening..
- A Soggy Start..
- NOT the Ideal Start to the Holiday Weekend
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July
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