Thursday, August 4, 2011

2 AM Update on Emily

Emily's strength has changed little in the last 24 hours. The storm has sustained winds of 50 mph and is moving west at 5 mph. The storm's lack of motion will create even heavier downpours over Haiti and the Dominican Republic: 6-12" are likely with isolated areas receiving 20"+. This will create flash flooding and mudslides across the island. Some weakening is possible in the next 24-36 hours as it interacts with Hispaniola's mountainous terrain but some re-strengthening is possible when the storm moves over the Bahamas. *If a northward motion does not begin soon, the threat to Florida will increase.* Southwest Florida remains on the outskirts of the 3 day forecast cone.

-KW

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