Friday, July 2, 2010

Brian: A messy July 4th weekend forecast, rain & storms likely.. maybe a bit drier for the 4th..

It looks like the soggier side is going to win out for the holiday weekend with rain and storms likely, mainy in the afternoon, for today and tomorrow. There are still signs that it might be able to turn just a little bit drier/sunnier for the Fourth; but still plan on widespread showers and storms on Sunday as the really dry air makes it no farther south than north Florida. Fireworks could be an issue for parts of the area on Sunday night, but I still think overall showers and storms will be winding down by the time we hit dusk. I have the latest on your forecast coming up on WINK starting in 10 minutes. Hope you can join us!
 
Brian

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Brian: Warmest June on Record in Naples.. 84.6, beats old record of 84.1 set in 1944...


Brian: Alex continues to weaken, now a 50 mph tropical storm... other areas to watch in Atlantic...

Good morning! Alex continues its rapid weakening over the mountainous terrain of central Mexico; it is now a 50 mph tropical storm but still a tremendous rainmaker with significant flooding and mudslides likely across Mexico. By tonight, Alex will be a tropical depression.
 
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, I'm watching a few waves evenly spread out around 10 degrees North latitude; one near 60 West (off the coast of South America), another near 40 West in the central Atlantic and another just coming off the west coast of Africa. A few of our models hint at development in the western Caribbean later this weekend or early next week, and that will be worth watching. We'll also be monitoring the southeast coast for some "home grown" development along the decaying front we've been telling you about.
 
Brian

Brian: Alex now a 70 mph tropical storm over Mexico...

 

Brian: A chance of torrential downpours today, highs in the low 90's..

Good morning! We're stuck in a pattern with enhanced low and upper level moisture which should help lead to widely scattered showers and storms again this afternoon. These will move from south to north and feature the possibility of torrential downpours. Expect similar weather on both Friday and Saturday with a possible trend toward slightly drier weather and more sun in time for July 4th. More coming on 6 TV; in the meantime, here is today's forecast:

Naples  Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 91
Bonita Springs Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 93
Fort Myers Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 92
Cape Coral Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 92
Port Charlotte Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 92
Hendry Co. Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 92
Glades Co. Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 91
DeSoto Co. Mostly Cloudy  Scattered PM Storms; High 91
 
Brian

Brian: Alex strongest June Atlantic hurricane since Alma in 1966... makes landfall at 105 mph...

Good morning! I just want to sum up Hurricane Alex by the numbers; by any measure, an impressive storm -- but even more impressive for one that made landfall in the waning hours of the month of June! Alex made landfall at about 10 PM last night 110 miles south of Brownsville, Texas, on the northern Mexico coast. At landfall, it was a pretty strong category 2 hurricane -- with wind of 105 mph. Not only was the core of the hurricane strong, but tropical storm force wind affected a huge area; Alex's tropical storm wind field extended out around 200 miles from the center!
 
On average, we wait until early August for the first hurricane in the Atlantic. This year, we waited until the end of June. Alex was the first June hurricane in the Atlantic since Allison was briefly a hurricane in the Gulf in 1995 (which, as you may remember, was a very active season). Further, at landfall, Alex was the strongest hurricane to occur in June in the Atlantic since Alma in 1966!
 
Alex is expected to weaken rapidly now over the rugged terrain of northern Mexico, but not before producing significant flooding across both south Texas and Mexico. Elsewhere in the tropics, no developments are imminent as I write this. There are a couple of waves to watch in the central and eastern Atlantic, but high wind shear now is located over a lot of this region north of 10 degrees north. Closer to home, with a front coming into the southeast, the waters offshore the southeast coast will be worth watching over the next few days for the possibility of a "hybrid" system developing. We'll keep you up to date.
 
Brian

Brian: Alex weakening, but still a hurricane over northern Mexico... 80 mph wind...