A weak area of low pressure appears to be becoming better organized in the southeast Gulf of Mexico over Florida Bay. The pressure is still running fairly high with this low (around 1010-1011 mb) and wind reports are still not very strong from either Key West, Marathon, or offshore buoys. That said, as upper level wind becomes more favorable for development, it is possible this low could take on tropical characteristics as it moves westward into the Gulf of Mexico. Depending on just how far south this system can stay over the short term, it is possible this could even become a tropical storm as it moves toward the north-central Gulf coast.
For us, as the low moves slowly in the Gulf, expect waves and bands of rain to move from south to north today. In fact, the radar screen is already starting to fill in across Monroe and south Collier Counties and I expect the day to become progressively wetter.
Brian
