Saturday, February 20, 2010

Brian: Temps dropping to near 60 degrees right now...

Lows tonight will drop back into the upper 40's to near 50 inland with low to mid 50's elsewhere. Some patchy clouds will be around overnight and it's not out of the question there will be some haze/fog tomorrow morning when you wake up. Looking ahead to tomorrow, our next system begins to approach out of the Gulf and, with more moisture being added to the atmosphere, coupled with a light Gulf breeze.. we could see a shower or two on the radar tomorrow afternoon. Even with clouds and a couple of showers around, temps will be pretty warm tomorrow (at least compared to where we've been most of this winter!) with highs near 70 at the coast and mid to upper 70's inland.
 
Monday's forecast is a bit tricky. Several of our forecast models are advertising the possibility of well over an inch of rain through most of southwest Florida. From my standpoint right now, though, there's not a lot of juice in the atmosphere to support such heavy rainfall totals. We'll have a weakening front approaching the area (most of the energy lifts into New England giving folks there a potentially major snowstorm later this week).. and not a lot of "lift" otherwise in the atmosphere. We need lift to create the potential for heavy rain. It seems to me, right now, that the models are overdoing the rain threat for Monday. That said, I still think most of the area will see around a half inch (or maybe more in some heavy showers) on Monday.. but excessive amounts of rain look unlikely to me at this point. Sometimes you have to use your knowledge of meteorology and go against even model consensus.. and that's where I'm headed with this forecast. Of course, we'll continue to update that forecast and bring you any changes here. Either way though, plan on some rain for Monday!
 
A much stronger front gets here on Wednesday... Wednesday could be one of those days where we see our day's high before dawn. From Wednesday through early in the weekend, expect another shot of below average temps with highs in the 60's and lows in the 40's. Have a great night! See you on 6 TV in a few minutes and WINK @ 11 PM!
 
Brian

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