Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Brian: Igor (135 mph/Cat 4) moving slowly, Julia (85 mph/Cat 1) strengthening, next depression forming?

Invest 92L, the tropical wave we've been tracking for the last several days in the Caribbean, is now located near and just west of the Cayman Islands and, looking at the visible satellite loop, appears to be gaining a more well defined circulation at this hour. The NHC has upgraded the chance of development over the next 48 hours to high -- and it is possible that by this evening this could be a tropical depression approaching the Yucantan Peninsula. As we've been saying for the past several days though, any development in the Caribbean will stay well away from southwest Florida given high pressure anchored across the southern tier of the United States.
 
Elsewhere, the forecasts remain unchanged for Igor (near Bermuda and then off the east coast of the United States) and Julia (moving well east of Bermuda into the central Atlantic).
 
Brian

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