Good morning! Morning sunshine will give way to increasing clouds along the Gulf breeze this afternoon. Most of our models are pointing toward an increased chance of rain for today and, while I generally agree (upper level disturbance moving through, more moisture pushing south across the peninsula), I'm not entirely convinced the models aren't somewhat overdone. That said, I have increased the chance of rain today into the scattered rain, with the best chance of rain lining up along the Gulf breeze near US-41 and I-75, then pushing east toward inland sections -- guided there by the flow around the western Atlantic low (still non-tropical, by the way).
For tomorrow, drier air moves back into the picture as the Atlantic low drifts a little closer to the Carolinas. Expect just isolated storms, mainly east of I-75, a pattern that should continue through the end of the week. For the big Memorial Day weekend, the models are split: the European and Canadian models leave an upper level disturbance over the southeast and scattered afternoon showers and storms will the American model goes for drier weather. Right now, I'm leaning toward at least a few thunderstorms each afternoon over the holiday weekend, but it won't be a washout!
Here is today's forecast:
Naples Partly Cloudy Isolated PM Storms; High 90
Bonita Springs Partly Cloudy Isolated PM Storms; High 91
Fort Myers Partly Cloudy Isolated PM Storms; High 91
Cape Coral Partly Cloudy Isolated PM Storms; High 90
Port Charlotte Partly Cloudy Scattered PM Storms; High 89
Hendry Co. Partly Cloudy Scattered PM Storms; High 89
Glades Co. Partly Cloudy Scattered PM Storms; High 88
DeSoto Co. Partly Cloudy Scattered PM Storms; High 88
Brian
