Thursday, May 27, 2010

Brian: NOAA Predicts Extreme Active Hurricane Season..

The numbers are in from NOAA and, for the reasons outlined earlier, they've made a forecast for an active to extremely active season. Here are the numbers:
 
2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Named Storms: 14 - 23 (average: 11)
Hurricanes: 8 - 4 (average: 6)
Major Hurricanes: 3 - 7 (average: 2)
 
Another reason for the expected above average season I had neglected to mention earlier: the multi-decadal cycle. Tropical activity in the Atlantic generally has gone through alternating 15-20 year periods of above/below average activity. Since the mid 90's, we're generally in an above average spike.
 
Much more coming up on 6 TV in just 2 minutes. See you there!
 
Brian

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