Good morning! A lot of moisture is in place across southwest Florida but, so far, not much in the way of rain. There is just one isolated shower showing up on radar this morning over the southeast part of the Cape Haze peninsula as I write this. I do expect showers and storms to get going though as we push toward the afternoon and the Gulf breeze/outflow boundaries get going across the area. The chance of rain should pick up a bit more tomorrow, especially along the coast, as moisture with a tropical wave moves by.
There will not be any development with this wave before it reaches Florida. After crossing the peninsula, it will move out into the Gulf and a couple of our short range models are trying to spin up low pressure. This seems unlikely at this point, though, as much of the wave energy will be pulled into the northeast Gulf and eventually back over the southeast with an oncoming trough of low pressure into the eastern US. Either way, it looks like a return toward some (at least slightly) drier air is in the forecast for Friday into the weekend.
Brian
