Thunderstorms have increased markedly on the western side of the tropical area of low pressure in the northwest Caribbean. These storms are largely over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico right now, so no development is expected over the next 24 hours. It's also very difficult to pick out a center of circulation right now on the visible satellite imagery -- so while thunderstorms are becoming more pronounced, this is still a fairly poorly organized system. Ship reports are indicating wind of 20-30 knots though near this storm, so once this gets into an area more favorable for development (like the Gulf, where it's headed tomorrow), I still don't see any reason why this won't be able to develop.
More coming up on WINK..
Brian
