Good morning! Tropical moisture has arrived this morning with our morning soundings (profiles of temperature, moisture, and wind through the depth of the atmosphere) showing around 2.5" of water above any given location in southwest Florida! This should help produce heavier downpours this afternoon as our showers and storms develop -- first inland, then along the coast to finish the day. The tropical moisture will move out into the Gulf of Mexico tonight and this should lead to a bit of a drier/sunnier day on Friday before more tropical moisture arrives on Saturday. This is all part of a pattern that will feature the arrival of tropical waves every 2-3 days with bouts of dry air in between.
Over the weekend, the drier day -- by far -- looks to be Sunday with just isolated storms in the afternoon forecast. As a result, expect a hot day to finish the weekend with highs in the mid to upper 90's! Another wave will arrive on Monday and Tuesday with yet another tropical wave approaching the area by late next week. The next wave could be one to watch a bit more closely as upper level wind/moisture profiles in the Atlantic should become more favorable for development as the week goes on next week.
In the meantime, here's today's forecast:
Naples Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 93
Bonita Springs Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 95
Fort Myers Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 94
Cape Coral Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 93
Port Charlotte Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 93
Hendry Co. Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 93
Glades Co. Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 92
DeSoto Co. Increasing Clouds PM Storms; High 94
Have a great Thursday!
Brian
