Good morning! Hurricane Alex is gone (but not forgotten as heavy rain continues to plague parts of central and northern Mexico this morning) and now there are several new areas to watch in the tropical Atlantic. Truly, a remarkable amount of convection (storms) are occurring across the Atlantic for so early in the hurricane season. One area we'll be watching is both the northeast Gulf and the Atlantic just east of Florida as a frontal zone moves over warm water. In fact, already there are signs that low pressure is developing in the northeast Gulf and the National Hurricane Center is giving this a low chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical system in the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, there are 3 separate waves in the central and eastern Atlantic and another strong wave just moving into the southwestern Caribbean. It is this wave that a few of our models key in on as a candidate for development in the western Caribbean over the next 3-6 days.
We'll keep you posted!
Brian
