We're under a veil of high, thin clouds this morning on the eastern edge of Tropical Storm Alex. These high clouds will be with us off and over the next few days but should diminish each day as Alex pulls farther and farther west before eventual landfall in northern Mexico or south Texas. Showers and storms will develop this afternoon and there's a ton of moisture in the atmosphere (dewpoints in the mid to upper 70's.. very sticky!). This should lead to some locally heavy downpours; yesterday, we saw nearly 2" of rain in some of the storms and we have a similar set up this afternoon.
A couple of new models have come in and as far as the weekend goes, it's a very tricky forecast. It still appears like some deep moisture will get trapped over the Florida peninsula as high pressure builds to our north over the east coast. Yesterday, most of our models were allowing this moisture to clear out into the Gulf by the second half of the holiday weekend as a more northeasterly flow took hold in the upper levels. Today, the model trend is toward more of that moisture sticking around for more of the weekend. For now, we'll hold on to our forecast of a chance of rain both earlier and later in the day with more clouds than sun Friday through at least Sunday the 4th. The weekend will not be a wash out, but it should be a little cooler with better chances of rain.
I'll have the latest on your forecast on 6TV in about 8 minutes.
Brian
