Good morning! We're just a few days away from the start of the July 4th weekend and many questions remain as to just how wet it will be. What we do know is that a cold front will stall and eventually fall apart across the southeast (perhaps as far south as north Florida -- very unusual for this time of year!) late this week. That front will draw some of the moisture from Alex toward it, but right now it looks like the front will stall too far north and Alex will move too far to the west for there to be significant interaction between the two.
That said, as high pressure builds in aloft to the north of the decaying front, that enhanced moisture will likely get stuck over the southeast. This should lead to more clouds than sunshine from Friday through Monday with chances of rain both earlier and later in the day. There have been quite a few changes in the models over the past few days, though, as they struggle with the details of the evolution of Alex. You'll want to stay tuned over the next few days as we continue to fine tune the 4th forecast!
Brian
