Brian: Tropical wave in western Caribbean, near Honduras, high chance of becoming a depression..

The tropical wave we've been watching in the Caribbean remains somewhat disorganized, but looks more together now than it did this time yesterday. Upper level wind has weakened quite a bit and it is located over some very warm water with high heat content. We expect this to become a tropical depression, perhaps as early as late this afternoon. The track will take it toward Central America/Yucatan Peninsula this weekend; after that, there are a lot of questions with regard to track. A lot depends on how strong (or not strong) 93L gets. I'll have the latest tonight starting at 5 pm.

Brian